Decisional Binarity, Predictions, Humilitas Coram Cosmo
Feb 22, 2026

When one embarks on a serious creative pursuit, one does not move through an open and fluid field where all possibilities are equivalent, even if it may appear that way. One advances through a tree of precise ramifications, albeit chaotic and partially mobile but always centered, where every significant decision ultimately reduces, at the moment it truly matters, to two paths: the one that continues forward or the one that deviates, often irreversibly. This binarity is not a simplistic mental construct nor an algorithmic convenience; it emerges directly from the way our brain processes reward stakes, the threats of painful anticipated loss, and the fundamental inability to indefinitely tolerate uncertainty without cracking under the stress it provokes.
A sufficiently elevated consciousness, combined with an intuitive creativity that accepts chaos without drowning in it, and with a capacity for rationalization that enables this anticipation, allows one to intuit the outcomes—in an intuitive and obfuscated manner—of the ramifications from their starting point and the overall structure conditioned by a certain binarity. As soon as a new branch cracks open, the mind already projects the complete form of what this branch could become. It anticipates the full conceptual totality of the trajectory while it still exists only in embryonic form, and this from a will to predict the path that the decision-making matrix will take, but without fixed results, rather like a moving target where the primary motivation is above all conditioned by primal instinctive drives (sex, resources, stability, expansion) but transcended into productive creativity.
The dopaminergic system makes this projection visceral. It injects an almost physical sensation of the reward awaiting at the end of the most promising branch. Dopamine does not merely signal; it amplifies anticipation to the point that the branch already seems to warrant the total effort, even when it remains distant and uncertain. This is made possible by abstraction, which generally prefers to omit all obstacles or small challenges one risks encountering along the way, in order to focus on the overall trajectory.
Every true divergence point is a binary choice. Once committed to one direction, the entire progeny of that branch is altered: the sub-ramifications, the adjacent opportunities, the terminal outcomes. If the initial calculation of the outcome was wrong—overestimation of a pattern, underestimation of a hidden risk—the entire branch gives the impression of collapsing upon itself. The investment made up to that point—months or years of work, physical and mental energy, pieces of identity invested in the story one tells oneself—appears to evaporate into a void. The perception of failure then becomes symmetrical and just as overwhelming as the perception of victory would have been: a collapse perceived as total, even if, objectively, lateral branches persist elsewhere.
Yet this collapse is not absolute. The reality of possibilities resembles mining far more than free exploration. One does not dig anywhere; one can only dig where the convergences of the moment—temporal, societal, intellectual—make an exploitable vein appear. A cultural zeitgeist that suddenly values an idea, a technological alignment that makes a technique viable, a biographical coincidence that places the right person in the right place: this is what “authorizes” mining a vein at a precise instant. The rest may exist in potential, but it remains inaccessible, not because it is intrinsically impossible, but because it is not “minable” now. Chance weighs far more heavily than we care to admit; the universe does not hand us a complete menu, it hands us what it agrees to release at that instant T. You do not necessarily know what you will find, you only know that you are searching, and that is what truly matters.
To briefly recall Carl Jung, when the ego is correctly integrated—neither inflated nor crushed—failures and successes lose their absolute power over the individual. What remains central is real progress, even minuscule, even invisible to others. This liberates the possibility of applied altruism without petty calculation and of innovation that can be shared without morbid possessiveness. One can then follow archaic trails through pure intuition, tolerate a very intense quest for reward without disintegrating. But the balance is delicate: if intuition completely overwhelms the internal framework, without filter or restraint, psychosis lurks. Jung formulated it: when the collective or personal unconscious takes over without limit, inflation occurs, the individual merges with the archetype that passes through him and loses contact with reality.
The protective framework is not an external organization, not a team, not a hierarchy. It is an inwardly forged state of mind: a mental discipline that imposes limits on the raw expression of intuitive drives, that accepts saying no to certain branches even when they shine, that maintains minimal rituals to contain the chaos. Without this framework, the degree of uncertainty rises mechanically. Physiological stress increases. A biochemical reaction that pushes either toward pure abandonment or toward paralysis of the first step. That is all.
The hardest element to accept lies in this central mechanism: the binary collapse or triumph is not massive in the sense of complete annihilation after a single error of judgment, a bad idea, or a failed execution. It appears disproportionately massive because, as long as the branch has not reached its declared terminus—official success or failure—no signal reaches the reward circuits. Neither the dopamine of victory, nor the warning shot of punishment. Everything remains in prolonged suspense. It is this interminable delay that transforms a local setback into a perceived catastrophe, and a modest advance into absolute triumph.
These circuits are archaic to the core. They were wired for raw survival stakes: reproduction, resource accumulation, maintenance of tribal stability. Today, they are diverted toward forms of creation that did not exist before: writing a book that spans generations, launching a company that changes a sector, solving an equation that redraws physics. The same dopamine that drove the hunt for game now drives pulling an all-nighter on a prototype. The brain has not been updated; it recycles old programs on new grounds.
There are no omnipotent god to console us, no magic to save us: just the universe that stratifies, that complexifies, that destroys to create again. And us, tiny conscious agents, who have the absurd luck to be able to contemplate it, sometimes laugh at it, dance a little before disappearing. It is probably the only solid foundation for a happy existence: knowing that one is small, accepting it without drama, and still doing its best so that the layer one adds is beautiful, assertive, alive -even if it will not last. The rest is often only noise to mask this naked truth.
There is no possible quest for purity. There exists no clean reward, without loss, without dissipation in the meanders of the tree. Even when an entire branch collapses and carries away all its potential outcomes with it, even when mining stops dead on an exhausted path, one must still attempt the next one. One must accept missing several optimal binary choices along the way. One must accept taking tangible, painful, visible failures. This is from my philosophy of cosmic humility: I accept being merely an interface, a point of passage and convergence between the internal and external movements that make the person I am today in the world as it currently is.